week 17
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
Edward Cabrera
data as of July 21, 2026·week 17
ON THE 15-DAY IL
Sell stable xERA 4.87 +0.77 vs league with no luck excuse; move on.high 0.78 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 53ERA 4.60WHIP 1.38W 2–4SV 0
Cabrera is a sell — skill below league, no luck to blame.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %21.0%—−4.4% ▼vs his ~25.4% career norm
- Walk %9.4%—−1.9% ▼vs his ~11.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.87 +0.77 vs league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed42.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm —
213 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed11.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —
213 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.338
lg avg .315 ▲+.023vs his norm —
309 / 200 TBF
xERA4.87
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.77vs his norm —
309 / 200 TBF
ERA5.10
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.00vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
72.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %21.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.0%vs his norm −4.4% ▼
309 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm −1.9% ▼
309 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.293
lg avg .295 ▼−.002vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
213 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —
309 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —
309 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.1 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.1 mphvs his norm —
1203 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 21.0%→22.7%signal53 K — K% 21.0% (signal) lifted to career ~25.4% → projected 22.7% over ~54 remaining IP.
xERA 4.87signal4.60 ERA — xERA 4.87 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 58 IP.
BB% 9.4% + contactsignal1.38 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.42 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role2-4 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop53 K ROS, 4.60 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.