Edward Cabrera
Cabrera is a sell — his expected ERA is nearly a full run above league.
His xERA is 5.08, a full run above the league average of 4.10, and with 329 batters faced, that number is reliable. There is no bad-luck story pulling it up. The contact he allows is poor: a 42.5% hard-hit rate and an 11.8% barrel rate, both above league, and his xwOBA allowed of .344 sits 29 points above average. He does throw hard, 96.2 mph on the fastball, and he gets chases at 32.3%, but it has not translated — his strikeout rate is 20.4%, below the 22% league mark, and he walks 9.7% of batters. The xERA has been stepping up across the sample. This is the level he's at, not a rough patch. Sell. 13 K and a 4.74 ERA ROS is streaming-only at best — that sell is a drop, not a bench stash.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %20.4%—−5.0% ▼vs his ~25.4% career norm
- Walk %9.7%—−1.6% ▼vs his ~11.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.08 +0.98 vs league with no luck excuse
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.