MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Robbie Ray
Robbie Ray
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Robbie Ray.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Robbie Ray wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Aaron Civale wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.4
Robbie Ray
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.5%
Robbie Ray
11.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
17.6%
Robbie Ray
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.5%
Robbie Ray
29.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
45.8%
Robbie Ray
37.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
10.0%
Robbie Ray
8.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.342
Robbie Ray
.324
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.984.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.68
Robbie Ray
3.984.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.45
4.31
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.321.54
now 1.47
1.39
Robbie Ray
1.321.54
now 1.40
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4070.20
now 39
31
Robbie Ray
4070.20
now 59
44
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0006.60
now 5
25
Robbie Ray
.0006.60
now 3
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.82
Sell HighRobbie Ray — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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