MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Robbie Ray
Robbie Ray
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Carmen Mlodzinski wins 2 (WHIP, W); Robbie Ray wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.0
Robbie Ray
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.6%
Robbie Ray
11.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
18.4%
Robbie Ray
20.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
30.5%
Robbie Ray
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
46.2%
Robbie Ray
38.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.3%
Robbie Ray
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.338
Robbie Ray
.330
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
3.424.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.60
Robbie Ray
3.424.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.45
4.43
WHIPlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
1.301.49
now 1.42
1.37
Robbie Ray
1.301.49
now 1.40
1.40

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
40.4064.60
now 46
46
Robbie Ray
40.4064.60
now 59
57
Winshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.8006.20
now 4
25
Robbie Ray
.8006.20
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.78
Sell HighRobbie Ray — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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