MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore
STL·P
Sell high·0.88
Change to
Engraved portrait of Robbie Ray
Robbie Ray
SF·P
Sell High high·0.94
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

MatthewCategoryRobbie
93K 112
4.82ERA4.80
1.38WHIP 1.41
3–7W3–7
0SV0

Current Season

MatthewCategoryRobbie
57K 59
4.35ERA 4.45
1.50WHIP 1.40
3W3
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Matthew Liberatore
  • xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.21 +1.11 vs league with no luck excuse
Robbie Ray
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.18 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming

Matthew Liberatore: 93 K / 4.82 ERA. Robbie Ray: 112 K / 4.80 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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