MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland
COL · P
Change to
Portrait of Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kyle Freeland wins 1 (WHIP); Matthew Liberatore wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kyle Freeland
91.3
Matthew Liberatore
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kyle Freeland
11.3%
Matthew Liberatore
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kyle Freeland
17.9%
Matthew Liberatore
22.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kyle Freeland
34.0%
Matthew Liberatore
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kyle Freeland
44.0%
Matthew Liberatore
42.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kyle Freeland
11.1%
Matthew Liberatore
9.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kyle Freeland
.354
Matthew Liberatore
.341
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kyle Freeland
2.878.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.06
4.99
Matthew Liberatore
2.878.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.70
WHIPlower is better
Kyle Freeland
1.221.85
now 1.71
1.36
Matthew Liberatore
1.221.85
now 1.50
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kyle Freeland
4079.80
now 43
0
Matthew Liberatore
4079.80
now 57
0
Winshigher is better
Kyle Freeland
.0004.20
now 1
0–0
Matthew Liberatore
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellKyle Freeland — hold.conf 0.60
SellMatthew Liberatore — sell.conf 0.83
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