Rest of Season Projection
LuisCategoryRobbie
102K →106
4.74ERA ←4.81
1.36WHIP ←1.41
2–5W →3–7
0SV0
Current Season
LuisCategoryRobbie
56K →59
5.53ERA →4.45
1.45WHIP →1.40
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luis Castillo
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.09 +0.99 vs league with no luck excuse
Robbie Ray
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.19 is 0.74 above the ERA — regression coming
Luis Castillo: 102 K / 4.74 ERA. Robbie Ray: 106 K / 4.81 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).