Rest of Season Projection
MitchCategorySteven
89K ←81
4.26ERA ←4.49
1.33WHIP →1.32
5–11W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
MitchCategorySteven
51K ←35
4.35ERA ←4.67
1.17WHIP ←1.24
5W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mitch Keller
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.35)
Steven Matz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.85 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Mitch Keller: 89 K / 4.26 ERA. Steven Matz: 81 K / 4.49 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).