MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 6, 2026
Jake Irvin
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jake Irvin.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Steven Matz’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jake Irvin wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Steven Matz wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jake Irvin
92.9
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jake Irvin
11.8%
Steven Matz
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jake Irvin
25.4%
Steven Matz
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jake Irvin
25.0%
Steven Matz
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jake Irvin
45.8%
Steven Matz
36.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jake Irvin
12.0%
Steven Matz
13.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jake Irvin
.349
Steven Matz
.366
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jake Irvin
4.455.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.23
4.82
Steven Matz
4.455.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.21
WHIPlower is better
Jake Irvin
1.171.44
now 1.35
1.33
Steven Matz
1.171.44
now 1.24
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jake Irvin
4075.60
now 58
64
Steven Matz
4075.60
now 35
55
Winshigher is better
Jake Irvin
.00010.40
now 2
23
Steven Matz
.00010.40
now 4
48

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellJake Irvin — sell.conf 0.88
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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