MLB Daily DeltaWeek 28 · October 3, 2026
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Shane Baz wins 1 (ERA); Steven Matz wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Shane Baz
95.8
Steven Matz
93.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Shane Baz
10.4%
Steven Matz
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Shane Baz
20.0%
Steven Matz
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Shane Baz
29.9%
Steven Matz
29.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Shane Baz
41.2%
Steven Matz
35.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Shane Baz
6.8%
Steven Matz
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Shane Baz
.317
Steven Matz
.342
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Shane Baz
3.994.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.21
Steven Matz
3.994.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
4.72
WHIPlower is better
Shane Baz
1.161.51
now 1.43
1.38
Steven Matz
1.161.51
now 1.24
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Shane Baz
4079.80
now 57
0
Steven Matz
4079.80
now 35
0
Winshigher is better
Shane Baz
.0005.60
now 2
0–0
Steven Matz
.0005.60
now 4
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellShane Baz — hold.conf 0.60
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.83
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