MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 6, 2026
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Shane Baz wins 2 (K, ERA); Steven Matz wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Shane Baz
96.1
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Shane Baz
10.2%
Steven Matz
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Shane Baz
20.0%
Steven Matz
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Shane Baz
30.0%
Steven Matz
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Shane Baz
40.7%
Steven Matz
36.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Shane Baz
7.9%
Steven Matz
13.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Shane Baz
.327
Steven Matz
.366
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Shane Baz
4.015.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.35
Steven Matz
4.015.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.21
WHIPlower is better
Shane Baz
1.161.51
now 1.43
1.39
Steven Matz
1.161.51
now 1.24
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Shane Baz
4078.40
now 57
66
Steven Matz
4078.40
now 35
55
Winshigher is better
Shane Baz
.00010.80
now 2
13
Steven Matz
.00010.80
now 4
48

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellShane Baz — sell.conf 0.66
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
Tweet