MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Mahle.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Anthony Kay’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tyler Mahle wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Anthony Kay wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Anthony Kay
95.8
Tyler Mahle
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
10.8%
Tyler Mahle
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
18.0%
Tyler Mahle
21.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
32.5%
Tyler Mahle
29.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Anthony Kay
39.0%
Tyler Mahle
35.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Anthony Kay
8.5%
Tyler Mahle
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Anthony Kay
.351
Tyler Mahle
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Anthony Kay
2.866.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
4.88
Tyler Mahle
2.866.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.04
4.19
WHIPlower is better
Anthony Kay
1.321.61
now 1.40
1.39
Tyler Mahle
1.321.61
now 1.54
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Anthony Kay
4065.80
now 42
35
Tyler Mahle
4065.80
now 57
49
Winshigher is better
Anthony Kay
.0008
now 5
36
Tyler Mahle
.0008
now 1
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAnthony Kay — sell.conf 0.90
Buy LowTyler Mahle — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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