Rest of Season Projection
AnthonyCategoryTyler
72K →94
5.26ERA →4.05
1.42WHIP →1.38
5–11W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
AnthonyCategoryTyler
42K →57
3.77ERA ←6.04
1.40WHIP ←1.54
5W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Anthony Kay
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.88 +1.78 vs league with no luck excuse
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Anthony Kay: 74 K / 5.25 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 95 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).