Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryMike
84K →85
4.74ERA →4.44
1.33WHIP ←1.41
2–5W →3–6
0SV0
Current Season
JakeCategoryMike
58K ←54
5.23ERA ←5.40
1.35WHIP ←1.45
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Irvin
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.08 +0.98 vs league with no luck excuse
Mike Burrows
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.325 elevated and unstable — the 5.86 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.63 is +0.53 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Jake Irvin: 84 K / 4.74 ERA. Mike Burrows: 85 K / 4.44 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).