week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Jose Quintana
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league, limits the ceiling — skill near league average (4.90); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 58WHIP 1.36ERA 4.25W 3–6SV 0
Quintana is a hold — league average, nothing driving the line.
ROS projects K 20 YTD → 58 ROS, ERA 5.27 YTD → 4.25 ROS, WHIP 1.51 YTD → 1.36 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %11.0%—−9.4% ▼vs his ~20.4% career norm
- Walk %9.4%—+2.1% ▲vs his ~7.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.90)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed32.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.1%vs his norm —
143 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
143 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.344
lg avg .315 ▲+.029vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
181 / 200 TBF
xERA4.90
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.80vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
181 / 200 TBF
ERA5.27
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.17vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
41 / 200 IP
Strikeout %11.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−11.0%vs his norm −9.4% ▼
181 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm +2.1% ▲
181 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.289
lg avg .295 ▼−.006vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
143 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 11.0%→15.9%signal58 K — K% 11.0% (signal) lifted to career ~20.4% → projected 15.9% over ~82 remaining IP.
xERA 4.90noise4.25 ERA — xERA 4.90 (noise) blended 19% skill / 81% league 4.10 at 41 IP.
BB% 9.4% + contactsignal1.36 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.61 skill WHIP, blended 19…
run support + role3-6 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop58 K ROS, 4.25 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.