MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Bryan King
week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Bryan King

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · steady skill near league average (4.23); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSK 4ERA 4.04WHIP 1.35W 0–0SV 1–2

King is a hold — steady arm, nothing unstable pulling either way.

His expected ERA is 4.23, a hair above the league average of 4.10, and he has enough batters faced for that number to be reliable. The same goes for his xwOBA allowed, .317 against a league mark of .315 — dead even. Nothing in this profile is being propped up or dragged down by luck. He strikes out 18.2% of batters, below league, and walks 7.9%, right at league, so the command is neutral. His contact quality allowed is actually a touch better than average: 37% hard-hit and 5.8% barrels, both under league. The one wrinkle is his expected ERA has been ticking upward across the sample, which keeps this from being a buy. There is no signal here in either direction. Hold. 4 K and 4.04 ERA ROS makes him a drop in shallow leagues, streaming-only in deep — hold what you have means rostering nothing more.

VS His Norm

  • Strikeout %18.2%−6.1%vs his ~24.3% career norm
  • Walk %7.9%+1.6%vs his ~6.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.23)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed37.0%
37.0%*
lg avg 40.0% −3.0%vs his norm —
173 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.8%
5.8%*
lg avg 8.0% −2.2%vs his norm —
173 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.317
believable since Aug 1.317*
lg avg .315 +.002vs his norm —
242 / 200 TBF
xERA4.23
4.23*
lg avg 4.10 +0.13vs his norm —
242 / 200 TBF
ERA4.67
4.67*
lg avg 4.10 +0.57vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league averageexpect it to fall.
54 / 200 IP
Strikeout %18.2%
norm18.2%*
lg avg 22.0% −3.8%vs his norm −6.1%
242 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.9%
norm7.9%*
lg avg 8.0% −0.1%vs his norm +1.6%
242 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.307
.307*
lg avg .295 +.012vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league averageexpect it to fall.
173 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.0%
9.0%*
lg avg 11.0% −2.0%vs his norm —
242 / 60 TBF
Chase %30.5%
30.5%*
lg avg 28.5% +2.0%vs his norm —
242 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo92.0 mph
92.0 mph*
lg avg 94.0 mph −2.0 mphvs his norm —
921 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
K% 18.2%→21.0%signal4 K — K% 18.2% (signal) lifted to career ~24.3% → projected 21.0% over ~5 remaining IP.
xERA 4.23signal4.04 ERA — xERA 4.23 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 25 IP.
BB% 7.9% + contactsignal1.35 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.42 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (closer)1-2 SV — role: closer.
rosterdrop7 SV, 4.04 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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