Is Isaac Paredes a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Isaac Paredes's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

384 PA · week 17

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Isaac Paredes

HOU·3B

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

Hold · steady skill near league average (0.316); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSAVG .229HR 3R 18RBI 20SB 0

Paredes is a hold — league average, no edge either way.

His expected wOBA is .316, essentially league average, and he has 384 plate appearances — well past the stabilization point. His actual wOBA is .340, a small gap that is not driven by unsustainable BABIP luck. His contact quality is below league: 86.7 mph exit velocity, 30.0% hard-hit rate, and 5.9% barrel rate, all below the league benchmarks. But his elite plate discipline — 15.9% strikeout rate and 7.3% swinging-strike rate, both well below league — keeps the wOBA afloat. The xwOBA has been stepping up across the sample, but it remains right around average. There is no signal to buy and no signal to sell. Hold. 3 HR / 18 R / 20 RBI / 0 SB / .229 AVG is a deep-league-only hold; waiver fodder in standard formats.

VS His Norm

Barrel %5.9%—+0.4% ▲vs his ~5.5% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.316)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo86.7 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.3 mphvs his norm —

273 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %30.0%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.0%vs his norm —

273 / 50 BBE

Barrel %5.9%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm +0.4% ▲

273 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.316

lg avg .315 ▲+.001vs his norm —

384 / 160 PA

wOBA.340

lg avg .315 ▲+.025vs his norm —

384 / 200 PA

Strikeout %15.9%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−6.1%vs his norm —

384 / 60 PA

Walk %9.6%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —

384 / 120 PA

BABIP.276

lg avg .295 ▼−.019vs his norm +.016 ▲BABIP is above his ~.260 norm — expect it to fall.

273 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %7.3%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —

384 / 50 PA

Chase %27.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —

384 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 5.9%→5.7%signal3 HR — Barrel% 5.9% (signal) tempered to career ~5.5% → projected 5.7%.

BABIP 0.276→0.264 regressednoise.229 AVG — BABIP 0.276 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.258 (xBA 0.239) → 0.264.

on-base + lineup18 R — his run rate over ~190 projected PA.

slugging + lineup20 RBI — his RBI rate over ~190 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 55 G) over ~190 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons