199 PA · week 18
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
VS His Norm
- Barrel %5.0%—−4.4% ▼vs his ~9.4% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.296 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.3 mphvs his norm —
159 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %32.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.3%vs his norm —
159 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.0%vs his norm −4.4% ▼
159 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.296
lg avg .315 ▼−.019vs his norm —
199 / 160 PA
wOBA.276
lg avg .315 ▼−.039vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
199 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.9%vs his norm —
199 / 60 PA
Walk %3.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.0%vs his norm —
199 / 120 PA
BABIP.248
lg avg .295 ▼−.047vs his norm −.057 ▼BABIP is below his ~.305 norm — expect it to rise.
159 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
199 / 50 PA
Chase %41.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+12.6%vs his norm —
199 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.0%→7.5%signal3 HR — Barrel% 5.0% (signal) lifted to career ~9.4% → projected 7.5%.
BABIP 0.248→0.282 regressednoise.251 AVG — BABIP 0.248 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.291 (xBA 0.261) → 0.282.
on-base + lineup9 R — his run rate over ~140 projected PA.
slugging + lineup18 RBI — his RBI rate over ~140 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 26 G) over ~140 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.