MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Portrait of Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEX · SS
Change to
Portrait of Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BAL · SS
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ezequiel Duran.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI, steals, and average. Gunnar Henderson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Ezequiel Duran wins 3 categories (RBI, SB, AVG); Gunnar Henderson wins 1 (HR); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Ezequiel Duran
89.3
Gunnar Henderson
89.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Ezequiel Duran
37.7%
Gunnar Henderson
45.5%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Ezequiel Duran
5.7%
Gunnar Henderson
8.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Ezequiel Duran
35.3%
Gunnar Henderson
32.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Ezequiel Duran
14.1%
Gunnar Henderson
11.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Ezequiel Duran
.306
Gunnar Henderson
.310
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Ezequiel Duran
.200.330
lg AVG .295
now .299
.249
Gunnar Henderson
.200.330
lg AVG .295
now .219
.215

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Ezequiel Duran
516.60
now 4
4
Gunnar Henderson
516.60
now 13
9
Runshigher is better
Ezequiel Duran
21.8036.20
now 25
33
Gunnar Henderson
21.8036.20
now 31
33
RBIhigher is better
Ezequiel Duran
27.6047.40
now 32
43
Gunnar Henderson
27.6047.40
now 32
34
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Ezequiel Duran
3.808.20
now 5
7
Gunnar Henderson
3.808.20
now 6
6
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellEzequiel Duran — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyGunnar Henderson — hold.conf 0.60
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