Rest of Season Projection
BrayanCategoryGunnar
5HR →14
43R →46
45RBI →47
15SB ←9
.257AVG ←.218
Current Season
BrayanCategoryGunnar
4HR →13
26R →31
27RBI →32
9SB ←6
.293AVG ←.219
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brayan Rocchio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.323 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.320 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Gunnar Henderson
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.304)
Rocchio projects for 5 HR / 15 SB vs Henderson's 14 HR / 9 SB — power versus speed diverges; sell-high window for Rocchio vs hold on Henderson.