Rest of Season Projection
BrayanCategoryJeremy
5HR →7
43R →44
45RBI ←24
15SB ←9
.257AVG →.299
Current Season
BrayanCategoryJeremy
4HR ←3
26R ←15
27RBI ←8
9SB ←3
.293AVG ←.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brayan Rocchio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.323 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.320 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Jeremy Peña
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.356)
Brayan Rocchio projects 15 SB to Peña's 9 but trails in AVG .257 vs .299 and RBI 45 vs 24. The sell-high and hold verdicts reflect diverging skill signals.