Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryGunnar
12HR ←11
52R ←39
48RBI ←40
13SB ←8
.254AVG ←.213
Current Season
EllyCategoryGunnar
12HR →13
40R ←31
37RBI ←32
10SB ←6
.280AVG ←.219
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Gunnar Henderson
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.303)
De La Cruz leads in SB (13 vs 8) and AVG (.254 vs .214). The verdicts reflect the gap: buy De La Cruz, hold Henderson.