Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryJorge
12HR ←5
52R →59
48RBI ←29
13SB →19
.254AVG →.269
Current Season
EllyCategoryJorge
12HR ←4
40R ←22
37RBI ←11
10SB ←7
.280AVG →.316
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Jorge Mateo
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.356)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.390 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
De La Cruz's 12 HR outpaces Mateo's 5; Mateo's 19 SB edge De La Cruz's 13. De La Cruz is a buy; Mateo is a hold.