MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
245 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Luis Campusano

SD·C
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.327) — BABIP 0.320 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Campusano is a hold — average skill, average surface, nothing pulling.

His expected wOBA is .327, twelve points above the league average of .315, and his 245 plate appearances put that number past the point where it becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .355, higher than his skill line, and the reason is his BABIP: .320 against a league average of .295. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable, and he has 161, so some of that extra average is going to come back down. His contact quality sits right at league — 87.4 mph average exit velocity, 37.9% hard-hit, 8.1% barrels. His plate discipline is fine: 21.2% strikeouts, 11.8% walks. His expected wOBA has been stepping up across the sample, which is mildly encouraging, but the skill floor and ceiling here are both average. Nothing to buy, nothing to sell. Hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %8.1%—+2.3% ▲vs his ~5.8% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.327)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.320 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.4 mph
87.4 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.6 mphvs his norm —
161 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.9%
37.9%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
161 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.1%
norm8.1%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm +2.3% ▲
161 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.327
.327*
lg avg .315 ▲+.012vs his norm —
245 / 160 PA
wOBA.355
.355*
lg avg .315 ▲+.040vs his norm —
245 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.2%
21.2%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —
245 / 60 PA
Walk %11.8%
11.8%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.3%vs his norm —
245 / 120 PA
BABIP.320
norm.320*
lg avg .295 ▲+.025vs his norm +.053 ▲BABIP is above his ~.267 norm — expect it to fall.
161 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.1%
12.1%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
245 / 50 PA
Chase %29.1%
29.1%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
245 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.1%→6.8%signal0 HR — Barrel% 8.1% (signal) tempered to career ~5.8% → projected 6.8%.
BABIP 0.320→0.277 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.320 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.267 (xBA 0.240) → 0.277.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 18 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups