173 PA · week 10
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD
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José Caballero
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Caballero is a sell — skill is below league with no luck excuse.
His expected wOBA is .284, which is .031 below the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA tracks near .284, so there is no bad-luck story pulling the line down. His BABIP is near league average. The contact quality tells the same story: 83.3 mph exit velocity (5.7 mph below league), 27.3% hard-hit rate (12.7 points below league), and 3.1% barrel rate (4.9 points below league). Those are all stable numbers on 128 batted balls, and they are below league. His strikeout rate is slightly below league average, which is fine, but the bat-to-ball skill is not driving enough damage. The trend is down, not up. There is no slump waiting to break. Sell.
Sell
med0.61
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.284 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo83.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−5.7 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL128 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %27.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−12.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL128 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL128 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.284
lg avg .315 ▼−.031trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL173 / 160 PA
wOBA.316
lg avg .315 ▲+.001too early to trust
NOISE173 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL173 / 60 PA
Walk %5.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL173 / 120 PA
BABIP.306
lg avg .295 ▲+.011too early to trust
NOISE128 / 800 BIP