week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Kyle Finnegan
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.19); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 15WHIP 1.27ERA 3.74W 1–1SV 1–1
Finnegan is a hold — league average, no edge either way.
ROS projects K 16 YTD → 15 ROS, WHIP 1.54 YTD → 1.27 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %18.1%—−4.7% ▼vs his ~22.8% career norm
- Walk %14.1%—+4.3% ▲vs his ~9.8% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.19)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed42.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm —
120 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
120 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.317
lg avg .315 ▲+.002vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
177 / 200 TBF
xERA4.19
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.09vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
177 / 200 TBF
ERA2.13
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.97vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
42.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %18.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm −4.7% ▼
177 / 70 TBF
Walk %14.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+6.1%vs his norm +4.3% ▲
177 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.296
lg avg .295 ▲+.001vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
120 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —
177 / 60 TBF
Chase %27.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
177 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.3 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.3 mphvs his norm —
666 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 18.1%→20.6%signal15 K — K% 18.1% (signal) lifted to career ~22.8% → projected 20.6% over ~22 remaining IP.
xERA 4.19noise3.74 ERA — xERA 4.19 (noise) blended 7% skill / 93% league 3.70 at 28 IP.
BB% 14.1% + contactsignal1.27 WHIP — a 14% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.295 gives a 1.70 skill WHIP, blended 7…
run support + role1-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (closer)1-1 SV — role: closer.
rosterdeep2 SV, 3.74 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.