DET
Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group
Buy6
- 1
ERA 3.45 exactly matches xERA 3.47 — nothing lucky here
Buyconf 0.79 - 2
xERA 3.52 backs the ERA; 17% K rate is the risk
Buyconf 0.77 - 3
14.8% barrels back the .369 xwOBA; contact is real
Buyconf 0.71 - 4
18% strikeouts but 6% walks and .300 xwOBA allow — command carries it
Buyconf 0.70 - 5
.344 xwOBA outpacing .325 wOBA — bat's ahead of the results
Buyconf 0.66 - 6
xwOBA .333 beats his .321 wOBA; contact gains pending
Buyconf 0.64
Buy-Low2
- 1
36.7% K rate, 2.18 xERA — .369 BABIP is the whole gap
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 2Buy Lowconf 0.90
Sell-High6
- 1
10.8% strikeout rate: 5.06 ERA hides a 6.07 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 2
2.75 ERA hides a .248 BABIP; xERA says 3.84.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 3
16.8% strikeout rate and .228 BABIP can't both hold
Sell Highconf 0.80 - 4
BABIP-against .160 won't hold — .295 is the league norm.
Sell Highconf 0.79 - 5
BABIP-against .173 versus .295 league — pure noise propping up the ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.71 - 6
.404 BABIP floats a .433 wOBA over a .372 xwOBA
Sell Highconf 0.70
Sell5
- 1
5.77 xERA hides behind a 4.30, walking 12.6%
Sellconf 0.90 - 2
2.7% barrel rate and 85.6 mph exit velo — no power base
Sellconf 0.65 - 3
87 mph exit velo, 33% hard-hit — contact won't carry .272 xwOBA
Sellconf 0.64 - 4
22.5% hard-hit with 85.8 mph exit velo — no power base.
Sellconf 0.61 - 5
29% strikeouts undercut 44% hard-hit contact.
Sellconf 0.59
24 more players · league average or insufficient sample · expand to view
- Andrew SearsPHoldwait & see
- Beau BrieskePHoldwait & see
- Ben MalgeriRFHoldwait & see
- Brett CallahanLFHoldwait & see
- Burch SmithON THE 60-DAY ILPHoldwait & see
- Corey JulksLFNo Call Yet
- Drew AndersonPHoldleans buy
- Enmanuel De JesusPHoldwait & see
- Framber ValdezPHoldleans sell
- Gleyber Torres2BHoldleans buy
- Hao-Yu Lee2BHoldleans sell
- Jace Jung3BNo Call Yet
- Jack FlahertyPHoldleans sell
- Jackson JobePHoldwait & see
- John PeckSSHoldwait & see
- Justin VerlanderPNo Call Yet
- Kevin McGonigleSSHoldleans buy
- Matt VierlingON THE 60-DAY ILCFHoldleans sell
- Max ClarkCFHoldsteady
- Parker MeadowsON THE 60-DAY ILCFNo Call Yet
- River RyanPNo Call Yet
- Spencer Torkelson1BHoldsteady
- Ty MaddenPHoldwait & see
- Yilber DíazPNo Call Yet