week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Enmanuel De Jesus
data as of September 30, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.45); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.24ERA 3.71W 0–0SV 0
De Jesus is a hold — league average across the board.
ROS projects K 21 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 1.69 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %8.4%—−2.7% ▼vs his ~11.1% career norm
- Strikeout %21.9%—+2.6% ▲vs his ~19.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.45)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed43.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.4%vs his norm —
122 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —
122 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.323
lg avg .315 ▲+.008vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
178 / 200 TBF
xERA4.45
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.35vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
178 / 200 TBF
ERA3.83
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.27vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
42.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %21.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm +2.6% ▲
178 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm −2.7% ▼
178 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.299
lg avg .295 ▲+.004vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
122 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —
178 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
178 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.2 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.2 mphvs his norm —
669 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 21.9%→20.5%signal0 K — K% 21.9% (signal) tempered to career ~19.3% → projected 20.5% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.45noise3.71 ERA — xERA 4.45 (noise) blended 1% skill / 99% league 3.70 at 21 IP.
BB% 8.4% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.36 skill WHIP, blended 1%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.