Is Hao-Yu Lee a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Hao-Yu Lee's rest-of-season outlook?

Barrel% 9.5 but xwOBA .294 — bad contact.

193 PA · week 18

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Hao-Yu Lee

DET·2B

data as of July 29, 2026·week 18

flipped from HOLD on July 29, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.294 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59

ROSHR 3AVG .236R 8RBI 13SB 0

Lee is a sell — skill below league, no luck to mask it.

His expected wOBA is .294, .021 below the league average of .315, and his xwOBA has been stepping down across the sample — this is not a blip. His actual wOBA is near the same mark, so there is no bad-luck story. His BABIP is normal. His plate discipline is a clear negative: he walks just 4.7% of the time against a league average of 8.5%, and chases at a 32.6% clip, four points above the league norm. His contact quality is roughly league average — exit velo and hard-hit rate right around the middle, barrel rate a tick above. The underlying stick is below average, and without any luck-driven lift, the production is what it is. Sell. 3 HR, 8 R, 13 RBI, 0 SB, .236 AVG: a streaming-only drop that won't hurt you to cut loose.

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.294 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo89.1 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.1 mphvs his norm —

137 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %39.4%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —

137 / 50 BBE

Barrel %9.5%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —

137 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.294

lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —

193 / 160 PA

wOBA.323

lg avg .315 ▲+.008vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.

193 / 200 PA

Strikeout %24.4%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.4%vs his norm —

193 / 60 PA

Walk %4.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.8%vs his norm —

193 / 120 PA

BABIP.338

lg avg .295 ▲+.043vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.

137 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %14.1%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.1%vs his norm —

193 / 50 PA

Chase %32.6%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —

193 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 9.5%→9.2%signal3 HR — Barrel% 9.5% (signal) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 9.2%.

BABIP 0.338→0.309 regressednoise.236 AVG — BABIP 0.338 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.303 (xBA 0.236) → 0.309.

on-base + lineup8 R — his run rate over ~121 projected PA.

slugging + lineup13 RBI — his RBI rate over ~121 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 32 G) over ~121 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons