Is Colt Keith a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Colt Keith's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .334 beats his .315 wOBA by 19 points.

402 PA · week 25

this weekBUY

last weekHOLD

Colt Keith

DET·3B

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026

Buy stable xwOBA 0.334, +0.019 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.64

ROSAVG .269HR 1R 5RBI 2SB 0

Keith is a buy — the contact is climbing and the sample backs it.

His expected wOBA is .334, .019 above the league average of .315, and 402 plate appearances is well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA sits at .315 — exactly league average — so his real skill is running ahead of what the box score shows. The reason is contact quality, and it has been stepping up across the sample: a 41.7% hard-hit rate, above the 40.0% league mark, on 288 batted balls. He also controls the zone better than most, chasing 24.4% of pitches against a 28.5% league rate, with a 19.9% strikeout rate below league. The bat has leveled up and the results have not caught up yet. Buy. 1 HR / 5 R / 2 RBI / 0 SB / .269 AVG is a deep-league asset — the bat's ahead of the box score, so add him now.

VS His Norm

Barrel %7.3%—+0.1% ▲vs his ~7.2% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.334, +0.019 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo88.8 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.2 mphvs his norm —

288 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %41.7%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —

288 / 50 BBE

Barrel %7.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm +0.1% ▲

288 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.334

lg avg .315 ▲+.019vs his norm —

402 / 160 PA

wOBA.315

lg avg .315 .000vs his norm —

402 / 200 PA

Strikeout %19.9%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —

402 / 60 PA

Walk %7.2%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —

402 / 120 PA

BABIP.305

lg avg .295 ▲+.010vs his norm −.002 ▼BABIP is below his ~.307 norm — expect it to rise.

288 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %9.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —

402 / 50 PA

Chase %24.4%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —

402 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 7.3%→7.2%signal1 HR — Barrel% 7.3% (signal) tempered to career ~7.2% → projected 7.2%.

BABIP 0.305→0.332 regressednoise.269 AVG — BABIP 0.305 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.346 (xBA 0.276) → 0.332.

on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~38 projected PA.

slugging + lineup2 RBI — his RBI rate over ~38 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 56 G) over ~38 projected PA.

rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons