Rest of Season Projection
ColtCategoryMiguel
7HR →15
38R →67
13RBI →58
4SB →14
.278AVG ←.229
Current Season
ColtCategoryMiguel
0HR →15
21R →44
7RBI →38
2SB →9
.273AVG ←.241
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colt Keith
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.306)
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.395, +0.080 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Colt Keith: 7 HR / 38 R. Miguel Vargas: 15 HR / 67 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).