Rest of Season Projection
ColtCategoryKyle
7HR ←3
38R →42
13RBI →28
4SB ←3
.278AVG ←.231
Current Season
ColtCategoryKyle
0HR →3
21R →24
7RBI →16
2SB2
.273AVG ←.222
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colt Keith
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.306)
Kyle Karros
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.330, +0.015 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Colt Keith: 7 HR / 38 R. Kyle Karros: 3 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).