MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 7, 2026
Portrait of Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COL · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZ · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Kyle Karros wins 2 (SB, AVG); Nolan Arenado wins 2 (R, RBI); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Kyle Karros
89.6
Nolan Arenado
85.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Kyle Karros
44.5%
Nolan Arenado
31.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Kyle Karros
8.4%
Nolan Arenado
6.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Kyle Karros
24.7%
Nolan Arenado
31.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Kyle Karros
10.9%
Nolan Arenado
10.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Kyle Karros
.342
Nolan Arenado
.296
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Kyle Karros
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .222
.246
Nolan Arenado
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .270
.216

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Kyle Karros
510
now 3
3
Nolan Arenado
510
now 8
3
Runshigher is better
Kyle Karros
20.8033.20
now 24
26
Nolan Arenado
20.8033.20
now 28
30
RBIhigher is better
Kyle Karros
2035.60
now 16
17
Nolan Arenado
2035.60
now 28
30
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Kyle Karros
.0003.20
now 2
2
Nolan Arenado
.0003.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyKyle Karros — buy.conf 0.65
SellNolan Arenado — sell.conf 0.59
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