MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATL · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWS · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Miguel Vargas.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Miguel Vargas wins 4 categories (R, RBI, SB, AVG); Austin Riley wins 0 (none); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Riley
91.5
Miguel Vargas
90.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
45.2%
Miguel Vargas
45.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
12.3%
Miguel Vargas
13.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Riley
32.6%
Miguel Vargas
21.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Riley
15.8%
Miguel Vargas
9.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Riley
.299
Miguel Vargas
.383
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Riley
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .209
.210
Miguel Vargas
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .241
.225

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
520.60
now 8
1
Miguel Vargas
520.60
now 15
1
Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
2059.60
now 30
5
Miguel Vargas
2059.60
now 44
8
RBIhigher is better
Austin Riley
2050.80
now 32
6
Miguel Vargas
2050.80
now 38
7
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Riley
.00012.20
now 3
1
Miguel Vargas
.00012.20
now 9
2
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAustin Riley — sell.conf 0.58
BuyMiguel Vargas — buy.conf 0.74
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