Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryMiguel
15HR15
47R →67
50RBI →58
5SB →14
.210AVG →.229
Current Season
AustinCategoryMiguel
8HR →15
30R →44
32RBI →38
3SB →9
.209AVG →.241
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Riley
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.395, +0.080 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Vargas outpaces Riley in runs (67 vs 47) and steals (14 vs 5), both share 15 HR. The buy-hold spread favors Vargas.