Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryMiguel
9HR →15
41R →67
27RBI →58
3SB →14
.256AVG ←.229
Current Season
AlexCategoryMiguel
5HR →15
28R →44
18RBI →38
2SB →9
.259AVG ←.241
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Bregman
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.322)
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.395, +0.080 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Alex Bregman: 9 HR / 41 R. Miguel Vargas: 15 HR / 67 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).