Rest of Season Projection
ColtCategoryRoyce
7HR →8
36R ←26
12RBI →30
3SB →7
.276AVG ←.190
Current Season
ColtCategoryRoyce
0HR →3
21R ←11
7RBI →13
2SB →3
.273AVG ←.159
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colt Keith
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.302)
Royce Lewis
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.215 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Colt Keith: 7 HR / 36 R. Royce Lewis: 8 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).