week 17
this weekHOLD
last week—
Ty Madden
data as of July 22, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.96); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 32ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Ty Madden is a hold — early data, nothing to chase.
ROS projects K 16 YTD → 32 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %28.0%—+7.1% ▲vs his ~20.9% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.96)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed39.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —
53 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.5%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
53 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.268
lg avg .315 ▼−.047vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
82 / 200 TBF
xERA2.96
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.14vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
82 / 200 TBF
ERA3.15
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.95vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
20 / 200 IP
Strikeout %28.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.0%vs his norm +7.1% ▲
82 / 70 TBF
Walk %6.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm −0.9% ▼Walk % is below his ~7.0% norm — expect it to rise.
82 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.275
lg avg .295 ▼−.020vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
53 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
82 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.6%vs his norm —
82 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.0 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−1.0 mphvs his norm —
312 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 28.0%→23.0%signal32 K — K% 28.0% (signal) tempered to career ~20.9% → projected 23.0% over ~36 remaining…
xERA 2.96noise3.70 ERA — xERA 2.96 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 15 IP.
BB% 6.1% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.15 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.