week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Ty Madden
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.10); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.24ERA 3.70W 0–0SV 0
Madden is a hold — league average with nothing unstable underneath.
ROS projects K 16 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 0.95 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.9%—+3.0% ▲vs his ~20.9% career norm
- Walk %7.8%—+0.8% ▲vs his ~7.0% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.10)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed30.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.4%vs his norm —
121 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —
121 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.273
lg avg .315 ▼−.042vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
180 / 200 TBF
xERA3.10
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.00vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
180 / 200 TBF
ERA3.48
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.62vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
44 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.9%vs his norm +3.0% ▲
180 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm +0.8% ▲
180 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.241
lg avg .295 ▼−.054vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
121 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
180 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.1%vs his norm —
180 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.4 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.6 mphvs his norm —
719 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.9%→22.3%signal0 K — K% 23.9% (signal) tempered to career ~20.9% → projected 22.3% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.10noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.10 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 15 IP.
BB% 7.8% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.287 gives a 1.26 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.