MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Ty Madden
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Justin Sterner wins 1 (W); Ty Madden wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Sterner
93.5
Ty Madden
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Ty Madden
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Ty Madden
28.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Ty Madden
30.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Ty Madden
37.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
9.2%
Ty Madden
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Sterner
.292
Ty Madden
.272
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Sterner
2.823.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
Ty Madden
2.823.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.07
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Justin Sterner
.9001.36
now 1.11
1.24
Ty Madden
.9001.36
now 0.95
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Sterner
4037
now 26
21
Ty Madden
4037
now 16
31
Winshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
12
Ty Madden
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTy Madden — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet