Spencer Torkelson

Torkelson is a hold — the power plays, the strikeouts cap it.

The bat is doing real damage: a 12.2% barrel rate against a league average of 8.0%, with a 42.0% hard-hit rate on 336 batted balls — well past the point where contact quality becomes reliable. But his expected wOBA is .314, essentially the league average of .315, and that gap between loud contact and ordinary outcomes is the strikeout rate. He whiffs in 31.7% of plate appearances against a league average of 22.0%, and that number is stable — the sample is far past the stabilization point, and his strikeout rate has been stepping up across the sample. His actual wOBA of .337 sits above his expected figure, so there is nothing to buy there either. The power is real; the swing-and-miss is what keeps the line average, and both are locked in. Hold.