MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of Dillon Dingler
361 PA · week 17
this weekBUY
last weekBUY-LOW

Dillon Dingler

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from BUY-LOW on July 18, 2026
Buy stable xwOBA 0.376, +0.061 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.72
ROSAVG .249HR 5R 23RBI 33SB 0

Dingler is a buy — elite contact, earning his production.

His hard-hit rate has been stepping up across the season, now at 47.0% — well above the league average of 40.0% — and the sample of 251 batted ball events is past the point where contact quality becomes reliable. That stability shows in his expected wOBA of .376, which is .061 above league average and also trending upward. His actual wOBA sits at .356, slightly below his xwOBA, meaning he is not getting lucky on balls in play. His strikeout rate, walk rate, and swing-and-miss numbers are all near league average, so there is no discipline hole to derail the bat. The skill is real, the trajectory is rising, and the production is earned. Buy. 5 HR / 23 R / 33 RBI / 0 SB / .249 AVG projects as a deep-league asset worth adding now.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %11.6%+3.2%vs his ~8.4% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.376, +0.061 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.7 mph
89.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +0.7 mphvs his norm —
251 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %47.0%
47.0%*
lg avg 40.0% +7.0%vs his norm —
251 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.6%
norm11.6%*
lg avg 8.0% +3.6%vs his norm +3.2%
251 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.376
.376*
lg avg .315 +.061vs his norm —
361 / 160 PA
wOBA.356
believable since May 26.356*
lg avg .315 +.041vs his norm —
361 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.3%
21.3%*
lg avg 22.0% −0.7%vs his norm —
361 / 60 PA
Walk %6.4%
6.4%*
lg avg 8.5% −2.1%vs his norm —
361 / 120 PA
BABIP.284
norm.284*
lg avg .295 −.011vs his norm −.047 BABIP is below his ~.331 normexpect it to rise.
251 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.6%
10.6%*
lg avg 11.0% −0.4%vs his norm —
361 / 50 PA
Chase %34.7%
34.7%*
lg avg 28.5% +6.2%vs his norm —
361 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.6%→10.2%signal5 HR — Barrel% 11.6% (signal) tempered to career ~8.4% → projected 10.2%.
BABIP 0.284→0.298 regressednoise.249 AVG — BABIP 0.284 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.304 (xBA 0.287) → 0.298.
on-base + lineup23 R — his run rate over ~189 projected PA.
slugging + lineup33 RBI — his RBI rate over ~189 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 54 G) over ~189 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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