MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Dillon Dingler
559 PA · week 25
this weekBUY
last weekBUY-LOW

Dillon Dingler

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from BUY-LOW on September 10, 2026
Buy stable xwOBA 0.341, +0.026 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.65
ROSAVG .222HR 1R 5RBI 7SB 0

Dingler is a buy — the contact keeps climbing and the skill is earned

His expected wOBA is .341, .026 above the league average of .315, and he has the plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .331 — essentially the same — so balls in play are not inflating anything. The contact quality backs it up and is still trending the right way: his hard-hit rate has stepped up across the sample to 42.8%, above the 40.0% league mark, and 9.9% of his batted balls are barrels against a league average of 8.0%. He strikes out 22.7% of the time, roughly league average, so there is no coming batting-average collapse. The walk rate of 5.7% is a real flaw, but it is the lone one. The skill is earned and still improving. Buy.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %9.9%+1.5%vs his ~8.4% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.341, +0.026 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.5 mph
88.5 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −0.5 mphvs his norm —
383 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %42.8%
42.8%*
lg avg 40.0% +2.8%vs his norm —
383 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.9%
norm9.9%*
lg avg 8.0% +1.9%vs his norm +1.5%
383 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.341
.341*
lg avg .315 +.026vs his norm —
559 / 160 PA
wOBA.331
believable since May 26.331*
lg avg .315 +.016vs his norm —
559 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.7%
22.7%*
lg avg 22.0% +0.7%vs his norm —
559 / 60 PA
Walk %5.7%
5.7%*
lg avg 8.5% −2.8%vs his norm —
559 / 120 PA
BABIP.275
norm.275*
lg avg .295 −.020vs his norm −.056 BABIP is below his ~.331 normexpect it to rise.
383 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.6%
10.6%*
lg avg 11.0% −0.4%vs his norm —
559 / 50 PA
Chase %33.7%
33.7%*
lg avg 28.5% +5.2%vs his norm —
559 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.9%→9.4%signal1 HR — Barrel% 9.9% (signal) tempered to career ~8.4% → projected 9.4%.
BABIP 0.275→0.271 regressednoise.222 AVG — BABIP 0.275 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.268 (xBA 0.261) → 0.271.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~42 projected PA.
slugging + lineup7 RBI — his RBI rate over ~42 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 54 G) over ~42 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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