MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Dillon Dingler
607 PA · week 31
this weekBUY
last weekBUY-LOW

Dillon Dingler

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from BUY-LOW on October 26, 2026
Buy stable xwOBA 0.344, +0.029 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.66
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Dingler is a buy — the contact keeps climbing and the results follow.

His hard-hit rate is 43.4% against a league average of 40.0%, and the direction matters as much as the level: it has stepped up across the sample. Contact quality needs only about 50 batted balls to trust, and he has 417. His expected wOBA is .344, .029 above league average, and that number is stable over 607 plate appearances — well past the 160 where it becomes reliable. His actual wOBA sits at .325, so the surface is actually trailing the skill rather than the other way around. The bat is real and the stat line hasn't fully caught up to it. The strikeout rate is roughly league average at 22.9%, so there is no floor risk to offset the contact gains. Buy.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %10.1%—+1.7% ▲vs his ~8.4% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.344, +0.029 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.8 mph
88.8 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.2 mphvs his norm —
417 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.4%
43.4%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.4%vs his norm —
417 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.1%
norm10.1%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.1%vs his norm +1.7% ▲
417 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.344
.344*
lg avg .315 ▲+.029vs his norm —
607 / 160 PA
wOBA.325
believable since May 26.325*
lg avg .315 ▲+.010vs his norm —
607 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.9%
22.9%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
607 / 60 PA
Walk %5.6%
5.6%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.9%vs his norm —
607 / 120 PA
BABIP.274
norm.274*
lg avg .295 ▼−.021vs his norm −.057 ▼BABIP is below his ~.331 norm — expect it to rise.
417 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.8%
10.8%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
607 / 50 PA
Chase %33.4%
33.4%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.9%vs his norm —
607 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.1%→9.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 10.1% (signal) tempered to career ~8.4% → projected 9.6%.
BABIP 0.274→0.274 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.274 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.275 (xBA 0.266) → 0.274.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 54 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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