MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
190 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Gleyber Torres

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.342) — BABIP 0.328 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSHR 4AVG .252R 25RBI 14SB 0

Torres is a hold — league average with no edge.

His expected wOBA sits at .342, slightly above the .315 league average, and that number is stable after 190 plate appearances. But his actual BABIP is .328, still noisy at just 126 balls in play and likely to pull his overall production back toward the mean. The underlying contact quality tells the story: his average exit velocity is 85.3 mph, well below the 89.0 mph league average, and his hard-hit rate is 31.7% compared to 40.0% league. Those numbers are reliable. His barrel rate is just barely at league average. On the plus side, his walk rate is excellent at 15.3%, and his strikeout and chase rates are well below league, which helps buoy his on-base skills. That said, the xwOBA has been stepping up across the sample, but the weak contact metrics cap his ceiling. There is no clear buy or sell signal here. Hold. 4 HR, 25 R, 14 RBI, 0 SB, .252 AVG — a drop-tier hold best left on the wire in standard mixed leagues.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %7.9%+0.4%vs his ~7.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.342)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.328 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.3 mph
85.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −3.7 mphvs his norm —
126 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %31.7%
31.7%*
lg avg 40.0% −8.3%vs his norm —
126 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.9%
norm7.9%*
lg avg 8.0% −0.1%vs his norm +0.4%
126 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.342
.342*
lg avg .315 +.027vs his norm —
190 / 160 PA
wOBA.355
.355*
lg avg .315 +.040vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league averageexpect it to fall.
190 / 200 PA
Strikeout %17.4%
17.4%*
lg avg 22.0% −4.6%vs his norm —
190 / 60 PA
Walk %15.3%
15.3%*
lg avg 8.5% +6.8%vs his norm —
190 / 120 PA
BABIP.328
norm.328*
lg avg .295 +.033vs his norm +.035 BABIP is above his ~.293 normexpect it to fall.
126 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.6%
8.6%*
lg avg 11.0% −2.4%vs his norm —
190 / 50 PA
Chase %16.4%
16.4%*
lg avg 28.5% −12.1%vs his norm —
190 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.9%→7.6%signal4 HR — Barrel% 7.9% (signal) tempered to career ~7.5% → projected 7.6%.
BABIP 0.328→0.287 regressednoise.252 AVG — BABIP 0.328 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.280 (xBA 0.255) → 0.287.
on-base + lineup25 R — his run rate over ~180 projected PA.
slugging + lineup14 RBI — his RBI rate over ~180 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 34 G) over ~180 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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