MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
377 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Gleyber Torres

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.326) — BABIP 0.324 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSAVG .249HR 1R 6RBI 3SB 0

Torres is a hold — league-average skill, one noisy number to watch.

His expected wOBA is .326, a touch above the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His plate discipline is where the value lives: he strikes out 19.1% of the time, walks 13.3%, and chases just 19.3% of pitches outside the zone — all better than league average. The contact quality is the other side of the coin, and it isn't pretty: 86.3 mph average exit velocity and a 33.3% hard-hit rate, both below league. That mix keeps him close to average rather than above it. His wOBA is .337, but .324 BABIP sits above the .295 league mark and BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable — he has 252, so some of that average will come back to earth. The xwOBA has been stepping up across the sample, which is a small lean in the right direction, not enough to move the call. Hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.3%−1.2%vs his ~7.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.326)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.3 mph
86.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −2.7 mphvs his norm —
252 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %33.3%
33.3%*
lg avg 40.0% −6.7%vs his norm —
252 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.3%
norm6.3%*
lg avg 8.0% −1.7%vs his norm −1.2%
252 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.326
.326*
lg avg .315 +.011vs his norm —
377 / 160 PA
wOBA.337
.337*
lg avg .315 +.022vs his norm —
377 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.1%
19.1%*
lg avg 22.0% −2.9%vs his norm —
377 / 60 PA
Walk %13.3%
13.3%*
lg avg 8.5% +4.8%vs his norm —
377 / 120 PA
BABIP.324
norm.324*
lg avg .295 +.029vs his norm +.031 BABIP is above his ~.293 normexpect it to fall.
252 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.3%
9.3%*
lg avg 11.0% −1.7%vs his norm —
377 / 50 PA
Chase %19.3%
19.3%*
lg avg 28.5% −9.2%vs his norm —
377 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.3%→6.8%signal1 HR — Barrel% 6.3% (signal) lifted to career ~7.5% → projected 6.8%.
BABIP 0.324→0.293 regressednoise.249 AVG — BABIP 0.324 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.279 (xBA 0.254) → 0.293.
on-base + lineup6 R — his run rate over ~41 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~41 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 34 G) over ~41 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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