82 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Javier Báez
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.294); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 4AVG .263R 29RBI 18SB 3
Báez is a hold — league average with no signal either way.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 4 ROS, AVG .256 YTD → .263 ROS, R 10 YTD → 29 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %3.2%—−2.7% ▼vs his ~5.9% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.294)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo84.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−4.3 mphvs his norm —
63 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %28.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−11.4%vs his norm —
63 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.8%vs his norm −2.7% ▼
63 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.294
lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
82 / 160 PA
wOBA.296
lg avg .315 ▼−.019vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
82 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —
82 / 60 PA
Walk %2.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−6.1%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
82 / 120 PA
BABIP.295
lg avg .295 .000vs his norm +.018 ▲BABIP is above his ~.277 norm — expect it to fall.
63 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.2%→5.2%signal4 HR — Barrel% 3.2% (signal) lifted to career ~5.9% → projected 5.2%.
BABIP 0.295→0.314 regressednoise.263 AVG — BABIP 0.295 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.316 (xBA 0.272) → 0.314.
on-base + lineup29 R — his run rate over ~239 projected PA.
slugging + lineup18 RBI — his RBI rate over ~239 projected PA.
run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (1 in 24 G) over ~239 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.