week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jackson Jobe
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.84); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.30ERA 4.10W 0–0SV 0
Jobe is a hold — the expected ERA lags the stuff by a touch.
ROS projects K 4 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 0.40 YTD → 1.30 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %26.4%—+8.4% ▲vs his ~18.0% career norm
- Walk %8.3%—−3.3% ▼vs his ~11.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.84)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed37.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm —
122 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
122 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.302
lg avg .315 ▼−.013vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
193 / 200 TBF
xERA3.84
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.26vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
193 / 200 TBF
ERA3.91
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.19vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
46 / 200 IP
Strikeout %26.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.4%vs his norm +8.4% ▲
193 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.3%vs his norm −3.3% ▼
193 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.270
lg avg .295 ▼−.025vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
122 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
193 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —
193 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo97.6 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+3.6 mphvs his norm —
771 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 26.4%→22.1%signal0 K — K% 26.4% (signal) tempered to career ~18.0% → projected 22.1% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.84noise4.10 ERA — xERA 3.84 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 4.10 at 5 IP.
BB% 8.3% + contactsignal1.30 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.291 gives a 1.26 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop0 K ROS, 4.10 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.