week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jackson Jobe
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.01); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 8ERA 4.10WHIP 1.30W 1–3SV 0
Jobe is a hold — league average, nothing unstable either way.
ROS projects K 4 YTD → 8 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %20.8%—+2.8% ▲vs his ~18.0% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.01)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed36.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.1%vs his norm —
84 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —
84 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.342
lg avg .315 ▲+.027vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
125 / 200 TBF
xERA5.01
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.91vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
125 / 200 TBF
ERA4.45
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.35vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
28.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %20.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm +2.8% ▲
125 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm −2.0% ▼Walk % is below his ~11.6% norm — expect it to rise.
125 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.291
lg avg .295 ▼−.004vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
84 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
125 / 60 TBF
Chase %30.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —
125 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo97.7 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+3.7 mphvs his norm —
502 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 20.8%→19.1%signal8 K — K% 20.8% (signal) tempered to career ~18.0% → projected 19.1% over ~10 remaining IP.
xERA 5.01noise4.10 ERA — xERA 5.01 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 4.10 at 5 IP.
BB% 9.6% + contactnoise1.30 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.295 gives a 1.43 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role1-3 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop8 K ROS, 4.10 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.