68 PA · week 20
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Jhonny Pereda
data as of August 6, 2026·week 20
new call as of August 6, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.341); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .288HR 1R 14RBI 3SB 0
Pereda is a hold — league-average skill, nothing to push the needle.
ROS projects AVG .235 YTD → .288 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.341)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.8 mphvs his norm —
52 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %46.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.2%vs his norm —
52 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.2%vs his norm —Barrel % is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
52 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.341
lg avg .315 ▲+.026vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
68 / 160 PA
wOBA.308
lg avg .315 ▼−.007vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
68 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.8%vs his norm —
68 / 60 PA
Walk %5.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
68 / 120 PA
BABIP.300
lg avg .295 ▲+.005vs his norm −.044 ▼BABIP is below his ~.344 norm — expect it to rise.
52 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm —
68 / 50 PA
Chase %26.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
68 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.8%→4.6%noise1 HR — Barrel% 3.8% (noise) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 4.6%.
BABIP 0.300→0.328 regressednoise.288 AVG — BABIP 0.300 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.330 (xBA 0.306) → 0.328.
on-base + lineup14 R — his run rate over ~104 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~104 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 11 G) over ~104 projected PA.
rosterdeep.288 AVG
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.