97 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Jhonny Pereda
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
new call as of September 27, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.341); BABIP 0.343 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Pereda is a hold — league average with nothing unstable behind it.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .235 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.341)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.343 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.1 mphvs his norm —
69 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %47.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+7.1%vs his norm —
69 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.1%vs his norm —
69 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.341
lg avg .315 ▲+.026vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
97 / 160 PA
wOBA.322
lg avg .315 ▲+.007vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
97 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.4%vs his norm —
97 / 60 PA
Walk %8.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
97 / 120 PA
BABIP.343
lg avg .295 ▲+.048vs his norm −.001 ▼BABIP is below his ~.344 norm — expect it to rise.
69 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —
97 / 50 PA
Chase %24.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.9%vs his norm —
97 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.9%→3.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.9% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 3.9%.
BABIP 0.343→0.324 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.343 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.323 (xBA 0.300) → 0.324.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 11 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.