MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Dylan Crews
383 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL

Dylan Crews

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.312); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSAVG .233HR 1R 3RBI 2SB 1

Crews is a hold — league average, nothing unstable driving it.

His expected wOBA is .312, essentially the league average of .315, and he has more than twice the plate appearances needed for that number to be reliable. His contact quality backs up a modestly useful bat: 90.4 mph average exit velocity, a 43.3% hard-hit rate, and 9.1% barrels, all a touch above league on 254 batted balls. His actual wOBA is .298, a few points under his expected mark — the gap is small enough to be ordinary variation, not a luck story worth acting on. The one note of caution is the strikeout and chase profile: he strikes out 24.8% of the time and chases 32.2% of pitches, both a bit above league. This is a stable, average hitter and the data gives no edge in either direction. Hold. A 1 HR / 3 R / 2 RBI / 1 SB / .233 AVG line is waiver-fringe, deep-league rotational only — hold, but don't expect a push.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %9.1%+0.4%vs his ~8.7% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.312)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.4 mph
believable since Jun 1090.4 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +1.4 mphvs his norm —
254 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.3%
43.3%*
lg avg 40.0% +3.3%vs his norm —
254 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.1%
norm9.1%*
lg avg 8.0% +1.1%vs his norm +0.4%
254 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.312
.312*
lg avg .315 −.003vs his norm —
383 / 160 PA
wOBA.298
.298*
lg avg .315 −.017vs his norm —
383 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.8%
24.8%*
lg avg 22.0% +2.8%vs his norm —
383 / 60 PA
Walk %6.8%
6.8%*
lg avg 8.5% −1.7%vs his norm —
383 / 120 PA
BABIP.276
norm.276*
lg avg .295 −.019vs his norm +.028 BABIP is above his ~.248 normexpect it to fall.
254 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.8%
15.8%*
lg avg 11.0% +4.8%vs his norm —
383 / 50 PA
Chase %32.2%
32.2%*
lg avg 28.5% +3.7%vs his norm —
383 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.1%→8.9%signal1 HR — Barrel% 9.1% (signal) tempered to career ~8.7% → projected 8.9%.
BABIP 0.276→0.265 regressednoise.233 AVG — BABIP 0.276 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.260 (xBA 0.236) → 0.265.
on-base + lineup3 R — his run rate over ~36 projected PA.
slugging + lineup2 RBI — his RBI rate over ~36 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 11 G) over ~36 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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