MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Dylan Crews
443 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL

Dylan Crews

WSH·RF
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.317); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Crews is a hold — his skill sits right at league average.

His expected wOBA is .317, within two points of the league average of .315, and at 443 plate appearances the number is well past the point where it becomes reliable. That is the whole call. His actual wOBA is .294, .021 below that, but his swinging-strike rate of 15.2% against a league average of 11.0% and his chase rate of 32.1% explain where the gap comes from — a strikeout rate of 24.2% keeps his batting average down even when he makes hard contact. The contact has been trending up across the sample, and the underlying skill has firmed at league level. There is nothing unstable here to buy low on and nothing inflated to sell. Hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %9.4%—+0.7% ▲vs his ~8.7% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.317)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.3 mph
believable since Jun 1090.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.3 mphvs his norm —
298 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.3%
43.3%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.3%vs his norm —
298 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.4%
norm9.4%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm +0.7% ▲
298 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.317
.317*
lg avg .315 ▲+.002vs his norm —
443 / 160 PA
wOBA.294
.294*
lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —
443 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.2%
24.2%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.2%vs his norm —
443 / 60 PA
Walk %6.8%
6.8%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.7%vs his norm —
443 / 120 PA
BABIP.270
norm.270*
lg avg .295 ▼−.025vs his norm +.022 ▲BABIP is above his ~.248 norm — expect it to fall.
298 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.2%
15.2%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —
443 / 50 PA
Chase %32.1%
32.1%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.6%vs his norm —
443 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.4%→9.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 9.4% (signal) tempered to career ~8.7% → projected 9.1%.
BABIP 0.270→0.268 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.270 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.266 (xBA 0.241) → 0.268.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 11 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups