Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryDylan
4HR →7
33R ←21
7RBI →16
7SB ←5
.238AVG →.258
Current Season
BlakeCategoryDylan
1HR1
10R ←4
2RBI →3
2SB ←1
.269AVG ←.220
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.365 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.272 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
Dylan Crews
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.204 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Blake Dunn: 4 HR / 33 R. Dylan Crews: 7 HR / 21 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).