Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryLourdes
4HR →6
33R ←18
7RBI →28
7SB ←3
.238AVG.238
Current Season
BlakeCategoryLourdes
1HR1
10R ←7
2RBI →11
2SB ←1
.269AVG ←.228
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.365 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.272 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.290)
Blake Dunn: 4 HR / 33 R. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 6 HR / 18 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).