MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Blake Dunn
Blake Dunn
CIN · CF
Change to
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
AZ · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Blake Dunn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Blake Dunn wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Lourdes Gurriel Jr. wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Blake Dunn
89.2
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
87.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Blake Dunn
30.3%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
34.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Blake Dunn
2.7%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
4.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Blake Dunn
28.7%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
40.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Blake Dunn
10.9%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
12.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Blake Dunn
.278
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
.277
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Blake Dunn
.210.290
lg AVG .295
now .269
.235
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
.210.290
lg AVG .295
now .228
.228

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Blake Dunn
53.20
now 1
1
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
53.20
now 1
2
Runshigher is better
Blake Dunn
2022.40
now 10
18
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2022.40
now 7
10
RBIhigher is better
Blake Dunn
2020.20
now 2
4
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2020.20
now 11
15
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Blake Dunn
.0005.20
now 2
4
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
.0005.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBlake Dunn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.66
SellLourdes Gurriel Jr. — sell.conf 0.63
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