102 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.290); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 6AVG .238R 18RBI 28SB 3
Gurriel is a hold — league average, no edge either way.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 6 ROS, AVG .228 YTD → .238 ROS, R 7 YTD → 18 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %6.7%—−0.8% ▼vs his ~7.5% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.290)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.5 mphvs his norm —
75 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.0%vs his norm —
75 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm −0.8% ▼
75 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.290
lg avg .315 ▼−.025vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
102 / 160 PA
wOBA.265
lg avg .315 ▼−.050vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
102 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.4%vs his norm —
102 / 60 PA
Walk %7.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
102 / 120 PA
BABIP.270
lg avg .295 ▼−.025vs his norm −.013 ▼BABIP is below his ~.282 norm — expect it to rise.
75 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.7%→7.2%signal6 HR — Barrel% 6.7% (signal) lifted to career ~7.5% → projected 7.2%.
BABIP 0.270→0.275 regressednoise.238 AVG — BABIP 0.270 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.275 (xBA 0.232) → 0.275.
on-base + lineup18 R — his run rate over ~261 projected PA.
slugging + lineup28 RBI — his RBI rate over ~261 projected PA.
run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (1 in 25 G) over ~261 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.