96 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Jose Siri
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 28% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.317); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 4AVG .194R 32RBI 28SB 0
Siri is a hold — league average ceiling, high-K floor.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 4 ROS, AVG .304 YTD → .194 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %12.9%—−1.1% ▼vs his ~14.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.317)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.7 mphvs his norm —
62 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm —
62 / 50 BBE
Barrel %12.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.9%vs his norm −1.1% ▼
62 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.317
lg avg .315 ▲+.002vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
96 / 160 PA
wOBA.334
lg avg .315 ▲+.019vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
96 / 200 PA
Strikeout %28.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.1%vs his norm —
96 / 60 PA
Walk %6.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
96 / 120 PA
BABIP.309
lg avg .295 ▲+.014vs his norm +.049 ▲BABIP is above his ~.260 norm — expect it to fall.
62 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %18.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+7.8%vs his norm —
96 / 50 PA
Chase %44.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+15.6%vs his norm —
96 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 12.9%→13.7%signal4 HR — Barrel% 12.9% (signal) lifted to career ~14.0% → projected 13.7%.
BABIP 0.309→0.236 regressednoise.194 AVG — BABIP 0.309 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.230) → 0.236.
on-base + lineup32 R — his run rate over ~111 projected PA.
slugging + lineup28 RBI — his RBI rate over ~111 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 15 G) over ~111 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.