251 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Jose Siri
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.304); strikeout rate 32% is stable and high, caps the floor — BABIP 0.324 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Siri is a hold — league-average skill with a strikeout problem
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .304 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %13.1%—−0.9% ▼vs his ~14.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.304)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.1 mphvs his norm —
153 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %42.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
153 / 50 BBE
Barrel %13.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.1%vs his norm −0.9% ▼
153 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.304
lg avg .315 ▼−.011vs his norm —
251 / 160 PA
wOBA.308
lg avg .315 ▼−.007vs his norm —
251 / 200 PA
Strikeout %31.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+9.9%vs his norm —
251 / 60 PA
Walk %6.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —
251 / 120 PA
BABIP.324
lg avg .295 ▲+.029vs his norm +.064 ▲BABIP is above his ~.260 norm — expect it to fall.
153 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %19.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+8.8%vs his norm —
251 / 50 PA
Chase %40.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+11.7%vs his norm —
251 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 13.1%→13.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 13.1% (signal) lifted to career ~14.0% → projected 13.6%.
BABIP 0.324→0.248 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.324 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.227) → 0.248.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 15 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.