
Henry Davis
Davis is a sell — the contact is average, the results are not
His expected wOBA is .290, a full 25 points below the league average of .315, and his 298 plate appearances are well past the point where that number becomes reliable. There is no bailout here: his actual wOBA is .267, so luck is not hiding a better hitter underneath. The contact quality is the tell. His exit velocity of 90.3 mph and hard-hit rate of 40.9% are only marginally above league average — not enough to carry a bat at a premium position. He is also chasing 32.3% of pitches outside the zone against a league mark of 28.5%, and his swing-and-miss rate of 13.6% sits well above league, which caps the batting average. The expected wOBA has stepped down across the sample. This is a profile in decline, not a player primed for a bounce. Sell. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG makes him waiver-wire fodder — a drop, streaming-only catcher.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %8.6%—−0.1% ▼vs his ~8.7% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.290 below league with no luck excuse
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.