MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of Emerson Hancock
week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Emerson Hancock

SEA·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

Hancock is a sell-high — BABIP luck is propping up the ERA.

Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.

Sell High
high0.95

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.14 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed43.7%
43.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL183 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed10.4%
10.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL183 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.321
.321
lg avg .315 ▲+.006trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL271 / 200 TBF
xERA4.14
4.14
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.04trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL271 / 200 TBF
ERA2.80
2.80
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.30too early to trust
NOISE70.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %25.8%
25.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL271 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.5%
5.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL271 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.243
.243
lg avg .295 ▼−.052too early to trust
NOISE183 / 800 BIP