Rest of Season Projection
EmersonCategoryEmmet
97K →115
4.13ERA →3.71
1.13WHIP ←1.17
4–9W ←4–8
0SV0
Current Season
EmersonCategoryEmmet
70K ←62
2.80ERA ←4.50
0.95WHIP ←1.16
4W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Emerson Hancock
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.15 is 1.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Emmet Sheehan
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.71, 0.39 below league — production is earned
Emerson Hancock: 97 K / 4.13 ERA. Emmet Sheehan: 115 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).