Rest of Season Projection
EmersonCategoryGarrett
86K →103
4.29ERA →4.18
1.14WHIP ←1.30
4–8W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
EmersonCategoryGarrett
70K ←37
2.80ERA ←6.30
0.95WHIP ←1.47
4W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Emerson Hancock
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.239 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.39 is 1.65 above the ERA — regression coming
Garrett Crochet
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.95)
Emerson Hancock: 86 K / 4.29 ERA. Garrett Crochet: 103 K / 4.18 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).